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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q2 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 8.66% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined by US$ 3.48 (-5.73%) month over month and US$ 2.35 (-3.94%) week ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q1' 2015 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN Q2 & Q4 2015 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 7.21 ...
Monday, 12 January 15
COAL: LOW PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DRIVE A SUPPLY-DRIVEN RECOVERY IN THE MEDIUM TERM - SGX
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices dropped to six-year lows in 2014 driven by persistent oversupply, SGX says in its “ Commodities 2014 - A ye ...
Monday, 12 January 15
FREIGHT MARKET: 2015 FLEET SUPPLY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF CARGO GROWTH - SGX
COALspot.com: The dry bulk freight market was forced to digest a number of negatives in 2014 leading the Baltic Dry Index to fall 66% through the y ...
Monday, 12 January 15
SHIPPING - CHALLENGES AND RESOLUTIONS - EVA TZIMA
Last year has without a doubt been another challenging one both for both our industry and our country. As Greece is currently dominated by election ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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