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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In Oil we trust! The Barrel price has declined by almost a third in comparison to the 2014 January and has being on the downhill since early last s ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 46.97 PMT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has fell US$ 1.53 (-3.15 ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.51% LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.56 per MT (-3.0%) month over month and US$ 1.03 (-2.0%) week ove ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
MORE PITFALLS FOR OWNERS LOOKING TO TERMINATE FOR UNPAID HIRE - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is a debatable point whether or not the obligation to pay hire under a time charter is a condition of the contract or ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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