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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 ROSE 3.39% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.90 (+3.39%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.08 ...
Monday, 23 February 15
Q2' API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $1 HIGHER THAN Q3
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.12 per MT (+6.44%) month over month and fall US$ 0.43 (-0.83%) w ...
Sunday, 22 February 15
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX LOST ALMOST 3.2% OR 17 POINTS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index, one of the economic indicators that monitors the health of the world's economy by tracking the price of shi ...
Friday, 20 February 15
GOVT SET TO INCREASE COAL OUTPUT TARGET THIS YEAR - JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry is planning to increase its coal output target this year as the government seeks to offset the ongoing de ...
Friday, 20 February 15
U.S. PRODUCED AROUND 19.2 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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