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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 April 15
Q3 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 55.96 PMT; DOWN 8.40% M-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has declined U ...
Monday, 06 April 15
INDONESIA'S HBA FIXED AT US$ 64.48 PMT FOR APRIL DELIVERY; DOWN 4.84% M-M
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 64.48 per MT in Apr ...
Monday, 06 April 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 12% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 6.23 per MT (-12%) month over month and US$ 0.86 (-1.85%) week ...
Monday, 06 April 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FALL CONTINUES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 5.96 (-10.37%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.98 (- ...
Sunday, 05 April 15
FREIGHT RATES UNDER PRESSURE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Indices fell on all segments and the market seemed to soften this week.
The BDI was almost lost 1.34% week over week and clo ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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