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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 01 April 15
SUPRAMAX & HANDY: RATES HELD STEADY TOWARDS THE WEEKEND
“Despite the fact that the Dry Bulk market closed off on the green last week, sentiment didn't improve by any means, not only because of ...
Wednesday, 01 April 15
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET UPDATE - INTERMODAL
There is no doubt that we are still witnessing a very challenging and at the same time very uncertain market, both with respect to dry chartering a ...
Wednesday, 01 April 15
Q4' 15 INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $45.15 W/E 27 MARCH 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 drops month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap declined US$ 1.54 (3.24%) mo ...
Tuesday, 31 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS GAIN WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month but increased week on week.
The Q2 swap has ...
Monday, 30 March 15
WORST IS OVER FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, BUT THE PAIN WILL REMAIN FOR YEARS TO COME, SAYS BIMCO CHIEF ANALYST - HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current demise of the dry bulk market isn’t one to go away anytime soon. That doesn’t mean that it can’t improve, with all sh ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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