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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET'S DOWNFALL ALSO OFFER INVESTMENT BARGAINS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk market rates have fallen to historical lows over the past few weeks, with no clear path of recovery, at least in the near term. As such, m ...
Thursday, 09 April 15
CAPESIZE: RATES ARE STILL DISAPPOINTING - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The handy market had a stronger sentiment before the Easter holidays, but have as the bigger panamaxes seen a softening tendency this week. ...
Wednesday, 08 April 15
DRY BULK MARKET SEEMS UNABLE TO CATCH A BREAK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market seems unable to catch a break these days.
According to Intermodal, following the market stabilization that p ...
Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the Europ ...
Tuesday, 07 April 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP KEEPS DROPPING; DROPPED 2% W-W
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 2.44 (5.14%) ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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