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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 14 April 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FOR Q4 DELIVERY CRASHES THROUGH $44
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 2.25 (4.77%) ...
Monday, 13 April 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $45.28 PMT; DECLINED 7.50% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.67 per MT (-7.50%) month over month and US$ 0.39 week on wee ...
Monday, 13 April 15
Q4 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 50.97
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.50 (-8.05%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0 ...
Sunday, 12 April 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATE IS EXPECTED TO BE SOFT
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady, however the BDI was declined slightly week over week.
BDI dropped 1.36 pct and closed at 580 poin ...
Friday, 10 April 15
US COAL PRODUCTION FELL 4.7% W-O-W : EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.4 million short ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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