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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 April 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP: GAINED W-O-W; DECLINED M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 gained week over week and declined month on month.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 1.75 ( ...
Tuesday, 21 April 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP MOVE UP SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 increased slightly month over month.
The Q2 swap has increased US$ 0.2 ...
Monday, 20 April 15
BUKIT ASAM TAKES OVER STAKE IN JV FROM RAJAWALI - JP
State-owned coal miner PT Bukit Asam (PTBA) announced Friday that it had taken over almost the entire stake in a joint venture (JV) that it created ...
Monday, 20 April 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP GAINED WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.54 per MT (-7.21%) month over month and gained US$ 0.30 week ...
Monday, 20 April 15
Q4' 2015 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 50.28 PMT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.03 (-7.28%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.05 (-0 ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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