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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 20 May 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS GAINED M-O-M, W-O-W
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 increased month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap has increas ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
BUKIT ASAM'S AVERAGE EXPORT PRICE WAS UNDER PRESSURE DURING Q1
COALspot.com: Indonesia’s state owned coal producer saw their profits fall in the first quarter of the year compared to the same period last ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
IRON ORE PRICES TO REMAIN WEAK ON LOW DEMAND, HIGH OUTPUT - FITCH
Iron ore prices will stay low for several years due to increasing supply, weak demand growth in China and the slower-than-expected closure of high- ...
Tuesday, 19 May 15
KOMIPO IS SEEKING TOTAL 2.34 MMT OF HCV AND LCV COAL FOR 2015 - 2017
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender to buy total 2.34 million Metric Tons (MT) of HCV ...
Monday, 18 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SCORE MONTHLY GAINS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.87 per MT (1.99%) month over month and lost US$ 0.03 week on w ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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