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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 01 June 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP; Q1'16 CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q3'15
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.36 per MT (0.80%) month over month. The swap was closed at US$ ...
Monday, 01 June 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: GAINED W-W, M-M; Q1'16 CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q3'15
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up US$ 1.15 (2.26%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a f ...
Sunday, 31 May 15
CAPE AND PANAMAX SEGMENTS SLIDE CONTINUES
COALspot.com: The BDI was up about 0.5 pct week on week and closed at 589 points while the cape index was fell 0.73 pct and closed at 810 po ...
Friday, 29 May 15
DRY BULK MARKET IS THE VICTIM OF A SHIFT IN DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The fall in dry bulk freight rates is attributed, in large part, to the substantial decrease of China’s thermal coal imports, a major commodi ...
Friday, 29 May 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. ALMOST FLAT THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.1 million short ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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