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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP; UP WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains week over week and lost month on month, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined ...
Monday, 25 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP Q1'16 CLOSED LOWER THAN Q3'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.92 per MT (2.07%) month over month and US$ 0.70 week on week. ...
Monday, 25 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP : Q3, Q4'15 & Q1'16 INCREASED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up US$ 1.55 (3.09%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.72 (1.41%) pe ...
Sunday, 24 May 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA PANAMAX CHARTER RATES WERE RATING AT AROUND US$ 5500
COALspot.com: The freight market softened in all segments this past week.
The BDI was dropped 7.57 percent week over week and closed at 586 po ...
Friday, 22 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3'15 SWAP FINISHED THE WEEK UP 38 CENTS TO $43.65 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains week over week and lost month on month, past week.
The Q3 swap was declined US$ ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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