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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 08 June 15
SHIPPING FLEET GROWTH HAS STARTED TO SLOW DOWN, AS NEWBUILDINGS AMOUNT TO JUST 329 SHIPS OF ALL TYPES SINCE THE START OF 2015 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Challenging market conditions have led to the inevitable reconsideration of ship owners’ priorities. Uncertainty has been the norm over the p ...
Monday, 08 June 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS ADVANCED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery increased US$ 0.65 per MT (1.44%) month over month to US$ 45.65 per mt. The ...
Monday, 08 June 15
Q3'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ADVANCED 3.51% TO $52.48 PMT THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.78 (3.51%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 07 June 15
PANAMAX INDEX ROSE OVER 13% THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was up on all segments this past week. The BDI was advanced 3.56% and closed at 610 points. The Cape Index was cli ...
Friday, 05 June 15
U.S PRODUCED 15.1 MMST OF COAL THIS PAST WEEK; LESS 20.7% COMPARED TO SAME PERIOD IN 2014
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million shor ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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