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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 04 June 15
DRY BULK MARKET FAILED TO OFFER ANY POSITIVE SURPRISES - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: This has been another week that the Dry Bulk market failed to offer any positive surprises, while the BDI, which is still faring belo ...
Wednesday, 03 June 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS
For some time now the Dry Bulk market has been severely affected by China’s slowing GDP growth rate that occurs in the background of increase ...
Tuesday, 02 June 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3 SWAP ADVANCED 1.73% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains month on month and lost week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was climbed ...
Tuesday, 02 June 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS; Q3'15 CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q1'16
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 up month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ 0.80 (1 ...
Monday, 01 June 15
35,000 MW POWER PLANTS TO BOOST COAL CONSUMPTION - JP
The government’s program to develop 35,000 megawatt (MW) power plants will increase domestic coal consumption, which currently stands at arou ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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