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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 15 June 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: ROSE M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.43 (2.82%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 14 June 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET FINISHED THE WEEK UP COMPARED TO LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market finished the week up compared to last week. All the segments except for Cape index were up. Cape segment was ...
Friday, 12 June 15
EXPECTATIONS IN REGARDS TO THE SUMMER SEASON VARY ACROSS THE MARKET - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market closed off last slightly up last week, with the BDI re-gaining the 600 points level, while the driving force behind the increas ...
Friday, 12 June 15
U.S. PRODUCED 15.1 MMST OF COAL THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.1 million short ...
Thursday, 11 June 15
IS COAL INDUSTRY GOING TO HIT A BRICK WALL?
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price once again to US$ 59.59 per MT fo ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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