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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 August 15
DRY BULK: MARKETS HAVE CONTINUED TO BE SEVERELY CHALLENGED - CLARKSONS
The dry bulk markets have continued to be severely challenged with freight rates falling during the period to below operating expense. The Baltic D ...
Tuesday, 18 August 15
1Q'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FALLS BELOW $54 A TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Tuesday, 18 August 15
2Q' 16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $43 PER MT W/E 14 AUGUST
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.08 per MT (-2.46%) month over month to US$ 42.82 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 17 August 15
TROUBLED DRY BULK MARKET FACES TURMOIL AS CHINESE COAL IMPORTS REMAIN WEAK - BIMCO
The demand for coal in China continues to diminish. So much in fact that India is expected to succeed China as the world’s largest imp ...
Monday, 17 August 15
INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL REFERENCE PRICE HITS RECORD LOW AGAIN!
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price once again to US$ 59.14 per MT fo ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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