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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 23 August 15
SHIPPING FREIGHT RATES FALL SHARPLY ON EXCESS SUPPLY AND LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: The BDI continued to soften and was down 5.78 pct and falls back below 1000 points this week.
The cape Index lost 17.25 per cent ...
Friday, 21 August 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION VOLUME FALLS 8.7% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million shor ...
Friday, 21 August 15
GLOBALCOAL TO LAUNCH ONLINE TRADING OF PHYSICAL MET COAL ON 13 OCTOBER
On 13 October 2015, globalCOAL will launch an online platform for the physical procurement and trade of high quality hard coking coal delivered FOB ...
Thursday, 20 August 15
COAL PRICES FALL TO 12-YEAR LOWS AS CHINA, INDIA JOIN DEMAND SLOWDOWN - REUTERS
Coal futures have fallen to 12-year lows, hit by soaring production and a slowdown in global buying, including from India and China which until rec ...
Wednesday, 19 August 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS CONTINUE FLAT TREND LINE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week, this past week.
The 4Q swap was decli ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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