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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 25 August 15
INDONESIA MINERS' NPLS TO RISE FURTHER, BANK RISKS BUILD - FITCH
The NPLs of Indonesian mine and mine services companies are likely to rise further in the short term, says Fitch Ratings, after reaching multi-year ...
Tuesday, 25 August 15
MINER'S EARNINGS DROP ON FALLING COAL PRICES; Q2'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.23 A TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 24 August 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS HIT FRESH LOW, DIPPING BELOW $42 A TON
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 2.20 per MT (-5.01%) month over month to US$ 41.70 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 24 August 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 48.65 PMT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.89 (3.74%) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 24 August 15
IS CHINA'S STEEL EXPORTS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE FREIGHT MARKET? - BIMCO
No, it’s not enough, you will need lower Chinese iron ore production too in order to keep growing imports of iron ore into China that will su ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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