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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 01 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS STILL SLIDING; Q2'16 DELIVERY LOST AROUND 6 PERCENT M-O-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 gain week over week but declined month over month.
The 4Q swap was dow ...
Monday, 31 August 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP GAINS WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.85 per MT (-4.23%) month over month to US$ 41.87 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 31 August 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ENDS DOWN MORE THAN 4 PERCENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.91 (3.78%) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
Sunday, 30 August 15
THE DRY BULK MARKET UNDOUBTEDLY REMAINS WEAK & VOLATILE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI slipped further down this week, moving closer to 900 level. This week’s BDI falls 9.15 pct and closed at 903 points. Wh ...
Friday, 28 August 15
DRY BULK SHIP OWNER OPTIMISTIC ABOUT FUTURE PROSPECTS OF THE MARKET: NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Dry bulk ship owner Golden Ocean appeared optimistic on the long term prospects of the dry bulk market, mainly thanks to an expected resolution of ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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