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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 September 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS CONTINUE TO SHOW DECLINING TREND
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Tuesday, 08 September 15
GANGAVARAM PORT IN INDIA DISCHARGES RECORD 112,599 MT OF STEAM COAL IN 24 HOURS
COALspot.com: Gangavaram Port, an all weather, multipurpose port with water depth up-to 21 meters, capable of handling fully laden Super Cap ...
Monday, 07 September 15
THE MINE OF THE FUTURE WILL HAVE ONLY TWO EMPLOYEES, A MAN AND A DOG - SCOTT MCGOWAN
"The Technology and Innovation in Mining 2015" production team at Information Exchange Group interviewed Scott Mcgowan, Director, Global ...
Monday, 07 September 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 16 DELIVERY CLOSED US CENTS 25 LOWER COMPARED TO Q4' 15
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined $0.73 per MT (-1.68%) month over month to US$ 42.65 per mt. The sw ...
Monday, 07 September 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS ROSE 1.1 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.52 (3 %) per MT month over month.
A commodity sw ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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