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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 September 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR 4Q' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $42.71 PER TON ON 11 SEPT, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined $0.94 per MT (-2.15%) month over month to US$ 42.71 per mt. The sw ...
Monday, 14 September 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED $1.80 PMT M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.62 (3.21 %) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 14 September 15
MOODY'S LOWERS COMMODITY PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON MACRO, INDUSTRY FACTORS
COALspot.com: Moody's Investors Service has lowered its base metal price assumptions for 2015-17 as slowing growth in China, lower oil prices, ...
Sunday, 13 September 15
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI decreased further by 6.51 per cent or 57 points since last Friday and closed at 818 on 11 September 2015 while the cape index ...
Friday, 11 September 15
SHIPPING MARKETS SHOW MIXED EMOTIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has managed to show marginal improvements over the past few days, with the Capesize segment faring better than smaller dry bulk ...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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