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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 September 15
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA TO REVISE HBA METHODOLOGY
COALspot.com: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) in process to revise Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) and expected to complete b ...
Thursday, 03 September 15
THE CHINESE STOCK MARKET AND THE CHINESE ECONOMY CONTINUE TO SUBSTANTIALLY AFFECT TRADING - INTERMODAL
The last week of the summer season saw the BDI dipping further on the back of another significant drop in rates for Capes, which brought the market ...
Wednesday, 02 September 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.46 MMT OF COAL IN JULY; UP 0.66 PER CENT M-O-M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.224 billi ...
Wednesday, 02 September 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
In the beginning of the summer period SnP activity was firm with numerous buyers, coming mainly from Greece and the Far East, inspecting ships and ...
Tuesday, 01 September 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FURTHER SLIDE TO US$ 40.62 PMT; DECLINE 5.34 PERCENT M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and slightly dropped week over week.
The 4Q swap was declined ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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