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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 11 September 15
U.S'S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION WAS ALMOST FLAT PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.6 million shor ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
U.S. H1' 15 STEAM COAL EXPORTS FELL BY 21 PER CENT Y-Y: EIA
Coal Trade
Slower growth in world coal demand, lower international coal prices, and higher coal output in other coal-exporting countries have all ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE HITS A NEW LOW OF $58.21 PER TON
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia once a again revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price to US$ 58.21 per MT ...
Thursday, 10 September 15
IF NOT NOW, WHEN? - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Our industry is well known to be cyclical with some cycles lasting longer than others. Despite the fact that these shifts in the behavior of the fr ...
Wednesday, 09 September 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP LOSE GROUND ON SLOWING DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.92 (-4.52%) per t ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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