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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 25 October 15
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX; INDEX FELL 5.4 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com: The BDI was slightly up by 2.65 pct closing at 774 points mainly because of Cape index which was up by 10.85 pct closing at 1461 poin ...
Sunday, 25 October 15
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING TO CHINA'S POLICIES FOR CUES ON FUTURE MARKET DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
China’s hard or softer landing is a thing which has troubled dry bulk shipping for a couple of years now, as owners have been hit by the coun ...
Friday, 23 October 15
WILL INDIAN DOMESTIC COAL PRICES BE ABLE TO COMPETE IMPORTED COAL PRICES IF THE CURRENT TREND CONTINUES?
COALspot.com: The Most of the Indian end-users are waiting for last minute purchase to enjoy every drop in price. Coal procurement managers are als ...
Friday, 23 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR THE WEEK ENDING OCTOBER 17 DECLINED FOR THE SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.6 million shor ...
Wednesday, 21 October 15
RUSSIA'S CARBO ONE COAL SALES TO HIT 50 MLN T/YR - JACQUELINE HOLMES
COALspot.com: Russia's Carbo One has become one of the world's leading physical coal traders with an annual volume approaching 50 million t ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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