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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 October 15
INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORTS DROP ON LOW PRICES - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesia's coal exports significantly dropped in the first nine months of the year as coal companies continued to suffer from low prices in ad ...
Friday, 30 October 15
CHINESE MINERAL IMPORTS: MOVING ON FROM INDONESIA? - CLARKSONS
China has accounted for almost 90% of global imports of nickel ore and bauxite in recent years and was therefore heavily hit by the Indonesian mine ...
Friday, 30 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES INCREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 29 October 15
IRAN'S RETURN TO OIL MARKETS WILL HAVE TEMPERED IMPACT FOR THE TANKER SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
While many analysts appear to be fearful of a potential incremental rise in tanker ships’ supply, as a result of the imminent return of Iran ...
Thursday, 29 October 15
Q2' 16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 37.40 PER TON; DECLINED 5.56 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 2.13 (-5.34%) per t ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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