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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 28 October 15
Q2'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SEES FURTHER DECLINES
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gained week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was d ...
Wednesday, 28 October 15
BDI INCREASE TOOK PLACE SOLELY ON THE BACK OF CAPESIZE PERFORMANCE, BUT........ - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week noting a small improvement which nonetheless failed to lift sentiment, not only because ...
Tuesday, 27 October 15
Q1'16 API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINE 6 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $2 per ton (4.66%) month over month to US$ 40.93 per ton. The swa ...
Monday, 26 October 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.5 PER CENT LESS COAL IN SEPTEMBER, COMPARED TO AUGUST LOADING
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.161 billi ...
Monday, 26 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSE DOWN 4.3% AS DEMAND CONCERNS WEIGH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US$ 1.48 (3.02 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity sw ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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