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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 November 15
EU OIL MAJORS FACE FURTHER EARNINGS DECLINE IN Q415 - FITCH RATINGS
The sharp drop in major European oil companies' third-quarter profits is likely to be extended in the fourth quarter as refining margins, which ...
Monday, 02 November 15
DESPITE CHALLENGING MARKET CONDITIONS, ADARO LOWERS COSTS, DEBT AND DELIVERS STRONG FREE CASH FLOW
COALspot.com: Despite challenging market conditions, Adaro lowers costs, lowers debt and delivers strong free cash flow.
The Indonesia’s ...
Monday, 02 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED ON A WEAK NOTE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.81(3.71 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 01 November 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET SENTIMENT REMAINS WEAK
This week’s freight market sentiment remains weak compared to last week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), an economic indicator issued daily ...
Saturday, 31 October 15
ADARO ENERGY'S CORE EARNINGS DECLINE 21 PER CENT FOR THE NINE MONTHS PERIOD TO SEPTEMBER 2015
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy's core earnings decline 21% to US$228 Million for first 9months of this year compared to the same period last year. ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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