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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 14 April 16
AUSTRALIAN MINING SERVICES SECTOR SQUEEZED BY MINERS' COST CUTS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says mining services companies' revenues and margins will remain under pressure as miners continue to focus on reducing costs ami ...
Thursday, 14 April 16
DRY BULKERS' PRICES COULD BE HEADING UPWARDS AS BUYERS' APPETITE INCREASES - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Investment sentiment is beginning to trend upwards in the market for second hand dry bulk carriers. According to the latest weekly report from ship ...
Wednesday, 13 April 16
U.S COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 16 PER CENT IN 2016; THE LARGEST ANNUAL PERCENTAGE DECLINE SINCE 1958 - EIA
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production in March 2016 was 52 million short tons (MMst), a 2 MMst (4%) decrease from the previous month and 29 MMst ...
Tuesday, 12 April 16
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE INCREASES FOR SECOND STRAIGHT MONTH
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price Increases For Second Straight Month in April 2016.
The Director General of Mine ...
Tuesday, 12 April 16
NO FURTHER SIGNIFICANT COAL PRICE DECLINES IN THE FUTURE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch does not expect further significant coal price declines because producers sector-wide are suffering losses while China and Indo ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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