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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 April 16
ON THE TIGHTROPE, IT CAN BE HARD TO KEEP YOUR BALANCE.... - CLARKSONS
Today’s headlines often point towards the impact of the demand side on the state of health of the shipping markets. But despite the fact that ...
Monday, 11 April 16
WEEKLY CS (I) COAL INDEX FOR 5700 GAR COAL UP 0.03 CENTS, OR ABOUT 0.06 PERCENT, TO $48.21 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin fell 0.15 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 11 April 16
COAL IS NOT THE ENEMY TO FIGHT - ANDREA CLAVARINO, ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: “Coal is not the enemy to fight and electricity production from coal has an environmental impact in its lifecycle similar to na ...
Monday, 11 April 16
FORTY INDIAN COAL IMPORTERS UNDER THE DRI SCANNER FOR OVER-INVOICING : HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The Finance Ministry and the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) of India are said to have stepped up investigations into the alleged over-in ...
Monday, 11 April 16
BDI ROSE TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN FOUR MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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