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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 April 16
U.S WEEKLY DOMESTIC COAL OUTPUT UP 8.2 PER CENT - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.1 million short tons (mm ...
Thursday, 21 April 16
PANAMAX: A VERY HEALTHY NORTH ATLANTIC FOR BOTH ROUNDS AND FRONTHAUL
Capesize
Correcting after last week's quadrupling.
This year's highest daily average of USD 8000 came on the back of substantial pro ...
Wednesday, 20 April 16
2017 IS EXPECTED TO BE A MUCH BETTER YEAR FOR THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - INTERMODAL
Some months ago we noted that all projections anticipated 2016 to be a better year from a macroeconomic point of view when compared to 2015. As we ...
Tuesday, 19 April 16
STARS STILL SHINING? KEY IMPORTERS THROUGH THE TELESCOPE - CLARKSONS
As the pace of growth in Chinese seaborne imports has slowed, and prospects for a return to stronger rates of expansion appear to have diminished, ...
Monday, 18 April 16
INDONESIAN 5000 GAR COAL INDEX DECLINE 1.43 PERCENT WEEK OVER WEEK - CS (I) COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin fell 1.43 percent week over week to averaging $38.65 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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