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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 April 16
COASTAL ENERGEN CROSSES GENERATION OF 1068 MW AND EXPORT OF 1004 MW FROM ITS 1200 MW IPP
COALspot.com: Coal & Oil (C&O) Group, an India centric Energy & Infrastructure company announced that their Coastal Energen' ...
Friday, 08 April 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES DIP 5.4% TO 11 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11 million short ...
Friday, 08 April 16
MINISTER OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA TO ISSUE REGULATION TO GUARANTEE THE COAL SUPPLY TO ITS 35K POWER PLANT PROJECTS
COALspot.com: In order to guarantee the supply of coal for 35,000 megawatt (mw) coal based power plants ( still in planning stage), the Minister of ...
Thursday, 07 April 16
CHINA STEEL CAPACITY CUTS FACE SOCIAL, FINANCIAL HURDLES - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings says today that the Chinese government's supply-side reform of the steel sector faces immense social and financial challenges. Th ...
Thursday, 07 April 16
PANAMAX RATES ARE FIRMING IN BOTH HEMISHEPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
With a great volume our of west Australia, rates were finally moving to upper 3's. and stabilizing towards the middle of the week in ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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