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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 May 16
COAL CARGOES - SOME RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: SWEDISH CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Indonesia continues to be amongst the world’s major exporters of coal, some 426Mt being traded in 2013 mostly to In ...
Friday, 13 May 16
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION IS RUNNING 33% BELOW THE SAME PERIOD IN 2015 - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 10.9 million short tons (mm ...
Friday, 13 May 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET RECOVERY WILL BE A LONG, HARD-FOUGHT BATTLE - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Anyone who expects a strong rally in dry bulk market rates to end the industry’s downturn will be bitterly disappointed. By contrast – ...
Wednesday, 11 May 16
U.S. FORECAST COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECLINED BY 150 MMST IN 2016; THE LARGEST DECLINE SINCE 1949 - EIA
COALspot.com: EIA estimates that U.S. coal production in April was 46 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (12%) decrease from the previous month an ...
Wednesday, 11 May 16
MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
On Saturday 7th May, Riyadh replaced the long-serving oil minister of more than two decades, Ali-Al-Naimi, as part of a major government overhaul, ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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