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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 May 16
VOLATILITY? VARIATION NO ENIGMA TO SHIPPING..... - CLARKSONS
Along with cyclicality, the other characteristic of the shipping markets which receives frequent mention is volatility. This is so evident that the ...
Monday, 09 May 16
INDONESIAN CS COAL INDICES UP CONTINUES; POSITIVE DIRECTION
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.10 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Wednesday, a ...
Monday, 09 May 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING TO WITNESS STEADY PROGRESS MOVING FORWARD ON THE BACK OF GROWING TRADE VOLUMES - BIMCO
In its latest short-term analysis of the shipping markets, BIMCO reiterated its optimism on the prospects of the dry bulk market moving forward. Ac ...
Monday, 09 May 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX ENDS WEEK ON A NEGATIVE NOTE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
Friday, 06 May 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 9 PERCENT W/W; DOWN 35.3 PERCENT Y/Y - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.3 million short to ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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