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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 May 16
CHINA THERMAL-POWER OVERSUPPLY TO WORSEN - FITCH
COALspot.com: The overcapacity in thermal-power generation in China is likely to worsen in 2016 to 2017, Fitch Ratings says in a new report.
F ...
Tuesday, 17 May 16
ON YOUR MARKS: TRACKING CHINESE TRADE - CLARKSONS
One of the major drivers behind the challenges currently facing many of the shipping markets has been slower demand growth. World seaborne trade gr ...
Monday, 16 May 16
INDONESIAN WEEKLY COAL INDICES AT POSITIVE LEVELS - CS (I) COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.31 percent week over week to averaging $38.94 per ton this past week, shows CS ...
Monday, 16 May 16
OPEC SEES RIVAL OIL PRODUCTION DECLINING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $37.86/b in April, a gain of $3.21 or 9.3%. This was 40% higher than the lows reache ...
Monday, 16 May 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS WEAK AND ALL SEGMENTS EXCEPT PANAMAX WERE DOWN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this week.
The freight market was weak and a ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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