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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 19 May 16
AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE CARGOES PUSHED UP THE FREIGHT RATES FOR CAPE THIS WEEK - FEARNLEYS
Cape
It has been a big jump in the freight rates for Cape size this week, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report. All of the Australian iron ...
Thursday, 19 May 16
DISPUTE OVER VAT ON COAL DRAGS ON, CAUSING DOUBLE-BLOW TO MINERS - JP
The dispute over the value-added tax ( VAT ) mechanism between coal miners operating under third-generation contracts and the Finance Ministry&rsqu ...
Wednesday, 18 May 16
DRY BULK OUTLOOK REMAINS GLOOMY SAYS DANISH SHIP FINANCE, AS SHIPPING NEEDS TO RETHINK BUSINESS MODEL - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Our Shipping Market Review – May 2016 is devoted to the fourth industrial revolution. To understand the truly disruptive nature of the fourth ...
Wednesday, 18 May 16
LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
As we are approaching the end of the first half of the year, there is a number of market participants over at the dry bulk sector that have started ...
Tuesday, 17 May 16
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE DECLINE AGAIN
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price declined in May 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the regulator of ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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