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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 27 May 16
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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