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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 28 September 16
WITHOUT A DOUBT FREIGHT RATES HAVE MOVED UP A BIT TO HEALTHIER LEVELS - INTERMODAL
As we are approaching Q4, it is interesting to perform a review of the last nine months with respect to the second-hand prices of Supramax and Pana ...
Tuesday, 27 September 16
THE CAPESIZE RATE OF INCREASE HAS BEEN IMPRESSIVE, UP 39% W/W AND 123% MONTH TO DATE - ALLIED
The Dry bulk market has seen a rare shine in its performance as the capesize sector manages to rally at an unprecedented rate compared to its perfo ...
Monday, 26 September 16
COAL PRICES HAVE BEEN MOVING STEADILY HIGHER AFTER YEARS OF DECLINE
COALspot.com: A rally in thermal coal prices over the past few months, after years of decline, is still continuing and it is expected to rally at l ...
Monday, 26 September 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS FIRM; ALL SEGMENTS WERE UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
Friday, 23 September 16
"COLLATERAL LIES" DO NOT NECESSARILY UNDERMINE AN INSURANCE CLAIM
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
An insured was not precluded from recovering under an insurance policy even though it had made a false statement during t ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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