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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 17 November 16
FROTHY THERMAL COAL PRICES POINT TO DOWNSIDE PRESSURES IN 2017 - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says in an Outlook Report that the Asian thermal coal industry will remain under pressure in 2017 due to more-than-adequate capacity ...
Thursday, 17 November 16
CHINA STEEL EXPORTS TO REMAIN HIGH IN 2017, FITCH SAYS
Fitch Ratings expects Chinese steel exports to remain at around 100 million metric tons (Mt) in 2017, due to flat 'apparent' consumption an ...
Wednesday, 16 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Going through a relatively interesting second half of the year so far in the ship repair sector, we are experiencing a volatile climate of differen ...
Tuesday, 15 November 16
CHINA, FOR MANY YEARS NOW HAS SERVED AS A MAJOR GROWTH ENGINE FOR ASIA - ALLIED SHIPPING RESEARCH
It’s been a turbulent couple of days after the announcement of the U.S. Presidential results in the early hours of Wednesday.
After week ...
Monday, 14 November 16
KOMIPO'S SEOCHEON POWER PLANT TO IMPORT 240,000 MT OF SEMI / ANTHRACITE COAL FOR Q1'17
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 240K mt of Semi-Anthracite and Anthracite Coal f ...
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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