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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 October 22
WHAT WILL THE GAS MARKET LOOK LIKE IN A NET ZERO WORLD? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The global gas and LNG market faces a number of ‘great unknowns’. With the market in turmoil uncertainty abounds – from the scale ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The LNG market remains extremely tight, and as a result adding further pressure on the vessel charter market, which is already stretched due to the ...
Sunday, 16 October 22
COULD A RETURN TO SHALE EXPLORATION BE PART OF THE SOLUTION TO EUROPE'S GAS SUPPLY PROBLEM? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The European gas market is in turmoil. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken things up, triggering a complete rethink of European energy st ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
THERMAL COAL PRICES RETREAT AS WINTER SUPPLY FEARS EASE - REUTERS
The prices of key thermal seaborne coal grades are retreating amid signs that supplies will be sufficient to meet winter demand in both Europe and ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
SPOT COAL BIDDING: CHINESE FIRM WANTS REVISED MECHANISM - BUSINESS RECORDER
Chinese company M/s Huaneng Shandong Ruyi (Pakistan) Energy Limited (HSR) has cautioned National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) that i ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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