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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
Wednesday, 12 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2022 has been remarkable.
Focusing only on Tankers and Bulkers, such v ...
Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation ...
Monday, 10 October 22
GLOBAL CEOS EXPECT IMPENDING RECESSION TO BE 'SHORT AND SHARP,' POLL SHOWS - CNBC
Global CEOs are anticipating a recession in the next 12 months, according to a new survey by professional services firm KPMG, which said more than ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCES REVENUE TO HIT RECORD AMID UKRAINE CONFLICT - REUTERS
Australian resources and energy export earnings are forecast to jump 7% to a record A$450 billion ($290 billion) this fiscal year, bolstered by soa ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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