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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired ge ...
Monday, 31 October 22
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 12.3 PCT IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in September, official data showed.
The country produced 390 million tonnes of ...
Wednesday, 26 October 22
BIMCO PUBLISHES UPDATED GENCON CONTRACT
BIMCO has published a revised and updated version GENCON 2022 – one of its flagship contracts within its portfolio of standard contracts for ...
Monday, 24 October 22
KOSPO TO INVITE 400,000 MT OF COAL FOR 3 YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an international tender for 400,000 MT of 3,800 - 4,400kcal/kg NCV and Sulfur Max 0 ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
ASIA COULD BE A BRIGHT SPOT AMID GLOBAL DOWNTURN NEXT YEAR, ECONOMISTS SAY - CNBC
Asia — especially Southeast Asia — remains a bright spot, even as the global economy looks set to head into recession next year, econom ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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