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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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