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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 June 18
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRICES HIT 6-YEAR HIGH AS ASIA DEMAND SPIKES - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have risen to their highest level since 2012 as hot weather across North Asia spurs buying ahead of the peak summer ...
Monday, 11 June 18
ANALYSING A NEW AGE OF AUTONOMOUS VESSELS - IMO
The International Maritime Organization answers the questions of Government Europa on how the next generation of autonomous vessels can be regulate ...
Friday, 08 June 18
AUSTRALIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES SURGE AS ASIA DEMAND HEATS UP - REUTERS
Australian thermal coal prices have hit their highest level since late 2016 as the market heats up on strong demand across North Asia and China in ...
Wednesday, 06 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
As observed last month the price of oil hit its highest level since November 2014 reaching $80 per barrel. Global oil demand growth for 2018 was sl ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
SOUTH KOREA'S SULPHUR CAP ALTERS ASIAN COAL MARKET DYNAMICS: RUSSELL
South Korea’s imposition of a strict sulphur cap on its imported coal is likely to cause ripples across Asia’s markets for the pollutin ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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