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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 05 June 18
THINGS STILL LOOK TO BE PROMISING FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Just as we thought the world was calming back down to reason, worries and frictions regarding global trade resurfaced this past week after a series ...
Tuesday, 05 June 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IS GOING UP AGAIN
COALspot.com: According to latest ministerial decree No. 1857 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 4 June 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) up 7.91 pe ...
Saturday, 02 June 18
HOW CARBON UTILISATION WILL BE A KEY STEP IN INDIA'S CLIMATE STRATEGY - BENJAMIN SPORTON
For India, energy remains the key driver of growth, not only from an economic perspective but more importantly for accelerating social development. ...
Thursday, 31 May 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV IS GETTING FIXED AROUND $13K DELIVERY SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The Cape market has been on a downward trend for the past week.
According to Fearnleys, Oslo based broker, Brazil market ...
Wednesday, 30 May 18
HIGH PRICE, DMO ENCOURAGE COAL MINERS TO BOOST PRODUCTION - THE JAKARTA POST
A number of coal miners are planning to increase production by 10 percent in the second half of this year after a worldwide price increase.
Th ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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