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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 21 June 18
CHINESE REDUCED COAL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS - CAIXIN GLOBAL
Caixin Global reported that the Chinese government has reduced restrictions on coal imports at the nation’s major ports in response to concer ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
INDIAN GOVERNMENT ADMITS COAL SHORTAGE, ASKS DISCOMS TO IMPORT - TIMES OF INDIA
Times of India reported that the power ministry has advised all state governments and private power distribution companies to import coal as Coal I ...
Tuesday, 19 June 18
WCA RESPONDS TO BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2018
Responding to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2018, Benjamin Sporton, Chief Executive of the World Coal Association (WCA) said, &ldqu ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 2% TO 756 MILLION SHORT TONS MMST IN 2018 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to decline by 2% to 756 million short tons (MMst) in 2018.
According to EIA's Short-Term Ener ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2018 marks quite a few milestones for Greek Shipping. No need to detail again the greatness of Greek Shipping or the singular position that Greek s ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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