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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 26 June 18
A SHARP RISE IN THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL WAS TO BE SEEN ON FRIDAY, ITS BIGGEST DAILY GAIN IN TWO YEARS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
A sharp rise in the price of crude oil was to be seen on Friday, its biggest daily gain in two years, as OPEC reached a deal to raise output. Despi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.179 MT OF COAL IN MAY; DOWN 14.77% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,453.6 Mi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
COAL IN THE CROSSFIRE: CHINESE TRADERS WARY OF BEING BURNT BY TRADE WAR - REUTERS
At least three U.S. coal shipments on their way to China may end up casualties of the escalating trade dispute after Beijing said it would impose s ...
Saturday, 23 June 18
COAL GROUP TARGETS 9 PER CENT REVENUE SPIKE - VIET NAM NEWS
Viet Nam News reported, the Viet Nam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin or TKV) is targeting VNĐ116.9 trillion (US$5.1 billion) ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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