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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 17 January 19
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL EXPORTS WERE 116 MMST IN 2018, 20% HIGHER THAN THE AMOUNT EXPORTED IN 2017
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that coal production declined by 20 million short tons (MMst) (3%) in 2018, despite a 19 MMst increase in U.S. coal e ...
Thursday, 17 January 19
U.S COAL OUTPUT IS EXPECTED TO FALL BY 3 PER CENT IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 729 million short tons (MMst) in 2019, down by 25 MMst (3%) from 2018.
Acco ...
Wednesday, 16 January 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we go through the first days of the year and just a few weeks before the Chinese New Year, the ship repair sector is witnessing a big difference ...
Monday, 14 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF MIN 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal for ...
Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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