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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 22 January 19
AUSTRALIA'S YANCOAL PRODUCED 50 MMT SALEABLE COAL IN 2018 UP 59 PER CENT ON THE YEAR PRIOR, THE QUARTERLY REPORT SHOWS
According to the report, the miner's quarterly (Q4' 18) saleable coal production of 12.4 Mmt. Includes 10.5 Mmt (85 per cent) from the Comp ...
Monday, 21 January 19
KOSPO INVITING BIDS FOR 320K MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Monday, 21 January 19
SUPRAMAX: INDONESIAN COAL RUNS, TONNAGE WAS GIVING APS DELIVERIES AND A 57,000DWT SHIP FIXED AT $7,000 FOR A TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A positive end to a week that saw rates on the West Australia/China run slip below $6.00, as charterers faced a plentiful supply ...
Monday, 21 January 19
HARD COAL WORLD TRADE IN 2018 RISES BY 3.7 PER CENT; GLOBAL HARD COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 1.7 PER CENT - VDKI
Global Hard Coal Production Increases By 1.7%.
According to provisional calculations by the German Coal Importer Association (VDKi), ...
Sunday, 20 January 19
OIL MARKET REPORT: A MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT - IEA
Last month, we asked if there was a floor under prices following the signing of a new Vienna Agreement that aims to re-balance the oil market. Foll ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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