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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 January 19
CHINA HAS BEEN THE TOP DRIVER OF GLOBAL GROWTH FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES - ALLIED
China has been the top driver of global growth for nearly two decades now, pushing demand for seaborne trade and being the key influencer for deman ...
Saturday, 26 January 19
SUPRAMAX: NICKEL ORE RUNS SAW A 56K DWT VESSEL, DELIVERY PHILIPPINES, FIXED FOR A TRIP TO CHINA AT $6K - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of dashed hopes for owners as the optimism evident the previous week evaporated. Rates slipped on all routes and underlying thr ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK FOR PANAMAX OWNERS; MARKET CONTINUES DOWN IN BOTH BASINS - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
The week has been marked by low activity and dropping rates in both basins. As usual, supply additions have increased at the beginning ...
Thursday, 24 January 19
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 960K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,600 kcal/kg NCV low calo ...
Tuesday, 22 January 19
9TH GLOBAL MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN INNOVATION SUMMIT 2019
Rethinking the supply chain in manufacturing is a must at the digital era along with the industry transforming and innovating; new manufacturing is ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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