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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neith ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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