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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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